The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória ES 62.7%
Draw 23.9%
Vilavelhense 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.6%
19.1%
10.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
15.7%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória ES's form might have worsened.
Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Vitória ES - Vilavelhense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 2.
Recent performances by Vitória ES have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vilavelhense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vitória ES may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vilavelhense has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vitória ES is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:9. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória ES won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).
Watch
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