Match Info

BRAZIL: Baiano U20 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday


	Vitória U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	3.77	3.27	1.82
	3.77	3.27	1.83
	3.75	3.4	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	1.85 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória U20
24%

Draw
27.2%

Bahia U20
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória U20's form might have worsened.

Bahia U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahia U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória U20 than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bahia U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Vitória U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bahia U20 have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória U20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória U20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
09.06.24	Estrela de Março U20 - Vitória U20	2:0 ✺
06.06.24	Vitória U20 - Estrela de Março U20	3:0 ✺
02.06.24	Conquista FC U20 - Vitória U20	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Vitória U20 - Conquista FC U20	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Vitória U20 - Camaçariense U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWW
- Bahia U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
08.06.24	Bahia U20 - Vitória da Conquista U20	2:0 ✺
31.05.24	Bahia U20 - Itabuna U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
28.05.24	Bahia U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2 ✺
22.05.24	Bahia U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:6 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
18.05.24	Bahia U20 - Alagoinhas U20	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
14.10.20	Bahia U20 - Vitória U20	1:0
17.07.19	Vitória U20 - Bahia U20	0:1

Vitória U20 - Bahia U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide