The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitebsk 54.5%
Draw 27.2%
Belshina 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
25.7%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
25.5%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitebsk's performance.
Belshina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belshina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belshina than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belshina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitebsk - Belshina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Goylo N. (G) 11. Gurenko A. 6. Rodionov K. 15. Kuntsevich M. 24. Kravchenko I. 8. Anufriev A. 7. Lisovskiy R. 30. Bashilov M. (C) 10. Protasov Y. 77. Minaev R. 86. Zgomba M.
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 78. Yakushevich G. 17. Vikhrov I. 6. Lazarev D. 27. Zgurskiy L. 11. Aboghe S. 8. Rusenchik V. (C) 5. Seleznev P. 14. Davydov V. 9. Shvedchikov A. 21. Golub N.
Substitutes
18. Anikeev V. 21. Burnos A. 14. Chervyakov Z. 22. Egorov S. 67. Minkevich G. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 17. Novykh E. 88. Pesnyak D. 66. Radin A. 26. Tikhonovskiy S.
7. Achapovskiy A. 10. Kozlov Y. 3. Kuchinskiy A. 18. Nekrasov N. 54. Patsenko N. (G) 19. Sokolovskiy N.
Coaches
Gurenko S.
Volodko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Lisovskiy R. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Shvedchikov A. ⚽, Golub N. (A),
37', Minaev R. 🟨,
43', Yakushevich G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Anufriev A. ↓, Novykh E. ↑,
46', Lisovskiy R. ↓, Tikhonovskiy S. ↑,
55', Aboghe S. ↓, Kozlov Y. ↑,
59', Shvedchikov A. ↓, Achapovskiy A. ↑,
62', Minaev R. ↓, Anikeev V. ↑,
63', Zgomba M. ↓, Pesnyak D. ↑,
64', Novykh E. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Anikeev V. ⚽, Pesnyak D. (A),
74', Davydov V. ↓, Sokolovskiy N. ↑,
75', Seleznev P. ↓, Nekrasov N. ↑,
76', Gurenko A. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
89', Yakushevich G. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Belshina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vitebsk is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
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Goylo N. (G) 
Gurenko A. 
Protasov Y. 
Zgomba M. 
Aboghe S. 
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