Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 22

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Viterbese		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25	Watch
	1.98	2.9	3.8
	2.07	2.95	3.25
	2.01	3.08	3.72
	2.05	2.88	3.6
	2.02	3.08	3.65	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)	3.01 ↑ (2.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
44.3%

Draw
30%

ACR Messina
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

24.7%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viterbese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Viterbese - ACR Messina Predictions

Users Predictions: Viterbese will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Viterbese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viterbese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
07.01.23	Fidelis Andria - Viterbese	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Viterbese - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Viterbese - Turris	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.12.22	Viterbese - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTL
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
07.01.23	ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
23.12.22	Crotone - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	ACR Messina - Taranto	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Juve Stabia - ACR Messina	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	ACR Messina - Picerno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.22	ACR Messina - Viterbese	1:1

Viterbese - ACR Messina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide