Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 19

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)


	Virtus Francavilla		Viterbese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.97	3	3.5
	2.02	2.95	3.68
	2	2.9	3.75
	1.97	3.13	3.76	Watch
	2	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.09)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	3.61 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
45.4%

Draw
29.6%

Viterbese
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

24.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viterbese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Virtus Francavilla will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Viterbese will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Francavilla: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Viterbese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus Francavilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Virtus Francavilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.22	Picerno - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	4:1 ✺
30.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Pescara	3:2 ✺
27.11.22	Monopoli - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLW
- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.22	Viterbese - Turris	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.12.22	Viterbese - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Nuova Monterosi - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
30.11.22	Viterbese - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Audace Cerignola - Viterbese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.04.21	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	0:0
23.12.20	Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla	2:2
15.12.19	Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
20.03.19	Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese	0:0
13.02.19	Viterbese - Virtus Francavilla	1:0

Virtus Francavilla - Viterbese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide