Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 26

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Viterbese		Monopoli

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.98	Watch
	3.65	2.75	2.1
	3.05	2.6	2.28
	3.77	2.79	2.08
	3.8	2.8	2.05
	3.9	2.9	2.06	Watch
	3.8	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.17)	2.83 ↑ (2.67)	2.08 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
24.8%

Draw
31.8%

Monopoli
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

33.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

33.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monopoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monopoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Viterbese - Monopoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Viterbese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Monopoli will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monopoli: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 1.

Viterbese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Monopoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monopoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monopoli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.23	Latina - Viterbese	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Viterbese - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Pescara - Viterbese	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Viterbese - ACR Messina	1:3 ✺
07.01.23	Fidelis Andria - Viterbese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT
- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.23	Monopoli - Picerno	1:0 ✺
30.01.23	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
23.01.23	Monopoli - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Avellino - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Monopoli - Crotone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.22	Monopoli - Viterbese	0:1
07.03.21	Viterbese - Monopoli	2:2
11.11.20	Monopoli - Viterbese	1:1
10.11.19	Monopoli - Viterbese	1:0
06.03.19	Viterbese - Monopoli	0:0
10.02.19	Monopoli - Viterbese	0:2

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