Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Monopoli		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.30
	2.02	3	3.6
	2.17	3.15	3.55
	2.09	3.08	3.53	Watch
	2.12	2.95	3.35
	2.09	2.97	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.23)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	3.47 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
43.8%

Draw
30%

Crotone
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monopoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Monopoli - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tommasi M. (G) 16. Valenti B. 2. Pucino R. 13. Colombara M. 23. Cerretti C. 21. Scipioni E. 8. Battocchio C. (C) 61. Garritano L. 33. Olivieri E. 7. Capone A. 28. Vido L.	1. Merelli D. (C) 28. Andreoni C. 13. Armini N. 26. Tanco G. J. 63. Veltri A. 99. Crapisto F. 80. Grosso F. 37. Barcella K. 11. Brignola E. 10. Musso A. 96. Zunno M.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 11. Belli M. 9. Bernardotto G. 19. Calcagni R. 72. Cortinovis A. 10. Fall M. 60. Gioielli F. 15. Greco J. 91. Parravicini N. 18. Paukstys S. 6. Piccinini S. 20. Sardo M. 12. Sibilano C. (G) 14. Tosi F.	74. Bashi E. 19. Feola W. 22. Lucano A. (G) 44. Pierangeli L. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 31. Rodriguez P. 83. Ruggiero Z. 17. Russo D. 5. Russo L. 7. Stauciuc B. 18. Tordini M. 8. Torres I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Zunno M. ⚽, Crapisto F. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Olivieri E. ⚽, Garritano L. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Musso A. ⚽, Grosso F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vido L. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
46', Garritano L. ↓, Cortinovis A. ↑,
57', Musso A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Scipioni E. ↓, Calcagni R. ↑,
61', Olivieri E. ↓, Sardo M. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Cerretti C. ⚽, Calcagni R. (A),
68', Brignola E. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
81', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
81', Barcella K. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
84', Veltri A. 🟨,
87', Tanco G. J. 🟨,
87', Zunno M. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
87', Grosso F. ↓, Bashi E. ↑,
88', Capone A. ↓, Bernardotto G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 1.

Monopoli has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Crotone is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Monopoli is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Monopoli has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:19 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Monopoli against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Monopoli	9	3	3	3	7:7	0	12
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

Monopoli - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Scafatese - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Monopoli - Foggia	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Potenza - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Potenza - Monopoli	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
29.08.26	Monopoli - Catania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Crotone - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Savoia - Crotone	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Crotone - Barletta	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Sorrento - Crotone	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Crotone - Foggia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.26	Monopoli - Crotone	1:1
18.10.25	Crotone - Monopoli	0:1
23.02.25	Crotone - Monopoli	2:0
12.10.24	Monopoli - Crotone	1:1
21.04.24	Crotone - Monopoli	3:1
17.12.23	Monopoli - Crotone	0:3
07.01.23	Monopoli - Crotone	1:2

Monopoli - Crotone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide