The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monopoli 48.3%
Draw 28.8%
Picerno 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
26.8%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
26.1%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Monopoli - Picerno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Piana E. (G) 34. Ronco D. 6. Miceli M. 5. Angileri A. 77. Viteritti O. 15. Greco J. 19. Calcagni R. 10. Volpe G. 99. Imputato A. 9. Longo S. 17. Tirelli M.
16. Marcone R. (G) 77. Cardoni K. 4. Frison F. 14. Vimercati A. 20. Gemignani A. 25. Djibril M. 30. Bianchi S. 11. Esposito E. 10. Maiorino P. 63. Pistolesi F. 90. Abreu L.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 4. Bizzotto N. 37. Bordo L. 20. Cascella R. 3. Di Santo E. 11. Fall M. 31. Oyewale S. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Scipioni E. 16. Valenti B. 45. Yeboah P.
33. Bocic M. 12. Esposito A. (G) 18. Garcia R. 23. Granata A. 6. Marino A. 2. Perri M. 99. Pugliese S. 32. Ragone V. 21. Salvo G. 9. Santarcangelo A. 1. Summa E. (G) 5. Veltri A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Abreu L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Longo S. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
46', Volpe G. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
62', 🟨,
64', Cardoni K. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
66', Angileri A. ↓, Valenti B. ↑,
66', Calcagni R. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
69', Maiorino P. ↓, Bocic M. ↑,
69', Esposito E. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Abreu L. ⚽,
77', Abreu L. 🟨,
85', (Pen),
86', Ronco D. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
89', Abreu L. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
90', Salvo G. 🟨,
90+1', Fall M. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 1.
In recent matches, Monopoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Picerno has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Monopoli is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Monopoli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Italy
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Piana E. (G) 
Abreu L. 
Fall M. 
Oyewale S. 
Valenti B. 
Yeboah P. 
Bocic M. 
Garcia R. 
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