Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Viterbese		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3	3	2.25
	3.05	3.05	2.16
	3.26	3.4	2.09
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.32	3.36	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.78)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
28.7%

Draw
28.6%

Virtus Entella
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

20.4%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Viterbese - Virtus Entella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Viterbese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtus Entella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Viterbese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
28.11.21	Reggiana - Viterbese	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
24.11.21	Padova - Viterbese	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
21.11.21	Viterbese - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Viterbese - Pontedera	2:3 ✺
07.11.21	Pistoiese - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWLL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
28.11.21	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
21.11.21	Pistoiese - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Virtus Entella - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Ancona - Virtus Entella	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.21	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWL

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