Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.65	3	1.95
	3.4	3.1	2.01
	3.76	3.13	2.03
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.58	3.34	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	1.99 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
25.4%

Draw
28.8%

Virtus Entella
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.5%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.4%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Virtus Entella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Entella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Virtus Entella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
14.11.21	Fermana - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Pistoiese - Viterbese	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Cesena - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Pistoiese - Montevarchi	2:0 ✺
19.10.21	Imolese - Pistoiese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTWT
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
14.11.21	Virtus Entella - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Ancona - Virtus Entella	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.21	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.21	Virtus Entella - Imolese	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.02.19	Virtus Entella - Pistoiese	3:1
03.02.19	Pistoiese - Virtus Entella	0:2

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