Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 7 November 2022, Monday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)


	Vitosha Bistritsa		Dobrudzha Dobrich

	1	X	2
	2.14	2.75	3.3
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.18	2.82	3.43
	2.1	2.88	3.3
	2.1	3	3.45
	2.17	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.91)	2.92 ↓ (3.11)	3.31 ↓ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitosha Bistritsa
42%

Draw
30.8%

Dobrudzha Dobrich
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.9%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitosha Bistritsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitosha Bistritsa's form might have worsened.

Dobrudzha Dobrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitosha Bistritsa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitosha Bistritsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vitosha Bistritsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vitosha will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitosha: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Vitosha is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dobrudzha Dobrich has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitosha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vitosha will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.10.22	Ludogorets II - Vitosha Bistritsa	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	Sozopol - Vitosha Bistritsa	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
30.09.22	Dunav Ruse - Vitosha Bistritsa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWWL
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.10.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Montana	0:1 ✺
24.10.22	Botev Plovdiv II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Krumovgrad	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Ludogorets II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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