Match Info

BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - ROUND 8

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Vitória ES		Jaguare

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.44	4.1	6.45
	1.41	4.15	6.83
	1.44	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.69)	4.16 ↑ (3.5)	6.32 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória ES
63.7%

Draw
21.9%

Jaguare
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória ES's performance.

Jaguare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaguare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória ES that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguare than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaguare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Yuri Duarte (G) 22. Abuda 7. Dodo 4. Edson Silva 9. Henan 3. Jo 8. Joao Paulo 10. Maicon Assis 11. Marco Antonio 20. Vitor 6. Wilian Simoes	12. Paulo Henrique (G) 8. Bruno Paixao 4. Correia 3. Dos Santos 5. Everson Ribeiro 7. Gil Mineiro 24. Joao Firmino 22. Kainandro 10. Matheus Firmino 16. Ronieli 14. Valu
Substitutes
12. Andre (G) 1. Bonini Neto (G) 23. Caio Monteiro 15. Carlinhos 94. Gabriel Fernandes 25. Jose Carlos 21. Kaiky 99. Macario 14. Victor Vellaske	13. Alexsandro 20. de Almeida Correia G. 17. Fabio 11. Gianlucas 18. Iure 9. Julio Cesar 1. Lucas Rocha (G) 2. Renzo 15. Robert

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Jaguare is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Vitória ES is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jaguare is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vitória ES is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
18.02.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	1:0 ✺
08.02.24	Vitória ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:2 ✺
05.02.24	Porto Vitória - Vitória ES	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Vitória ES - Noroeste	2:3 ✺
27.01.24	Nova Venécia - Vitória ES	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT
- Jaguare EC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.24	Jaguare - Estrela do Norte	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
02.02.24	Serra - Jaguare	5:0 ✺
27.01.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Jaguare	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Jaguare - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLTT

Vitória ES - Jaguare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide