Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.79	3.3	4.8
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.76	3.44	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.97)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	4.4 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
52%

Draw
27.2%

Santa Cruz Recife
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

29.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Vitória Salvador - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Vitória is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Santa Cruz have a series of home games.

Vitória will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.01.23	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Itabuna	1:4 ✺
12.01.23	Bahia de Feira - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
05.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Cordino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.01.23	CA Porto - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	3:3 ✺
12.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
05.01.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Caucaia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
27.02.21	Vitória Salvador - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
14.08.16	Vitória Salvador - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2
15.05.16	Santa Cruz Recife - Vitória Salvador	4:1
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.15	Santa Cruz Recife - Vitória Salvador	3:1
14.08.15	Vitória Salvador - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1

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