Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2023, Thursday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Caucaia

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.82	3.35	3.8
	1.83	3.08	3.95
	1.73	3.6	3.75
	1.85	3.36	3.82	Watch
	1.86	3.45	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.34)	3.29 ↓ (4.5)	3.8 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
48.8%

Draw
27.4%

Caucaia
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz Recife's form might have worsened.

Caucaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caucaia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Santa Cruz Recife - Caucaia Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 10 - 20%). Caucaia will win (votes: 35 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caucaia: 57.3% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match Santa Cruz is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Club Friendly
23.12.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Campinense	Canceled ✺
Brazilian Serie D
14.08.22	Tocantinópolis - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
01.08.22	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
24.07.22	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?LTWT
- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.04.22	Fortaleza - Caucaia	4:0 ✺
22.04.22	Caucaia - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Iguatu - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Caucaia - Iguatu	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Maracanã - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTWT

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