Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Volga Tver		Torpedo Vladimir

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.25	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Tver
38.2%

Draw
28.5%

Torpedo Vladimir
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Tver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Torpedo Vladimir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Volga Tver - Torpedo Vladimir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Korneev V. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, Sokolov D. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Tver won 1.

Volga Tver has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Torpedo Vladimir has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Volga Tver could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Volga Tver has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:22 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volga Tver against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 0.7:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tver	25	11	3	11	42:37	5	36
9	Vladimir	23	9	5	9	22:27	-5	32

Last Results with these Odds

Volga Tver - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Tver
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
13.09.26	Volga Tver - Dynamo Vologda	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Baltika 2 - Volga Tver	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Volga Tver - Yenisey 2	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Chertanovo - Volga Tver	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Volga Tver - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTLW
- Torpedo Vladimir
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
20.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Iskra Smolensk	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Murom - Torpedo Vladimir	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Krasnoye Znamya	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.06.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	2:0
31.08.25	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	1:0
10.05.25	Volga Tver - Torpedo Vladimir	2:1
20.10.24	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	4:1
01.07.24	Volga Tver - Torpedo Vladimir	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.08.22	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	1:0
01.04.21	Torpedo Vladimir - Volga Tver	0:2

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