Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 16

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.84	5.16
	1.48	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	3.59 ↓ (3.84)	4.83 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
57.6%

Draw
24.3%

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

23%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk aligns with the current prediction.

Volga Ulyanovsk - Mashuk KMV Pyatigorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 7. Bagatelia L. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 30. Khabibullin A. 15. Kokoev D. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 14. Minaev R. 28. Novikov D. 99. Polyakh D. 27. Umnikov M.	22. Suvorov O. (G) 32. Abazov A. 21. Bogomolov D. 13. Butenko A. 15. Gusengadzhiev R. 3. Khagur R. 11. Khutov A. 4. Machilov R. 8. Saygushev E. 57. Tlekhugov M. 70. Torosyan S.
Substitutes
77. Bilalov B. 49. Dyatlov I. 17. Gershun I. 47. Kravtsov Z. 4. Maksimenkov I. 70. Murza A. 80. Novikov M. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 10. Uridiya G. 37. Voronin E.	9. Abakarov M. 6. Budagyan Y. 33. Domotsev A. 30. Saganovich D. (G) 5. Saidov A. 77. Shaikhtdinov D. 29. Topuria T. 18. Volkov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Novikov D. 🟨,
55', Khabibullin A. ↓, Maksimenkov I. ↑,
55', Polyakh D. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
55', Bagatelia L. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
61', Minaev R. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
62', Gershun I. 🟨,
64', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Abakarov M. ↑,
75', Bogomolov D. 🟨,
76', Torosyan S. ↓, Shaikhtdinov D. ↑,
76', Khutov A. ↓, Domotsev A. ↑,
76', Khagur R. ↓, Volkov V. ↑,
85', Umnikov M. ↓, Novikov M. ↑,
87', Butenko A. ↓, Budagyan Y. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 4)

In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mashuk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Volga Ulyanovsk is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Volga Ulyanovsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
28.05.25	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:4 ✺
11.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWLT
- Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
28.05.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leningradets - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:4 ✺
18.05.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Veles Moscow	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
19.04.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
26.10.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	3:0
31.08.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3
09.06.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:0
02.03.24	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1

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