Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 14

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Volgar Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.29	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.14)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	3.75 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
46.6%

Draw
28.5%

Volgar Astrakhan
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 7. Bagatelia L. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 30. Khabibullin A. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Maksimenkov I. 70. Murza A. 28. Novikov D. 27. Umnikov M. 37. Voronin E.	1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 34. Dmitriev O. 5. Khomukha I. 17. Lesnikov D. 78. Melnikov D. 88. Mironov D. 71. Nasyrov I. 7. Pavlishin A. 24. Pogosov A. 28. Proshkin E. 58. Zuev I.
Substitutes
77. Bilalov B. 49. Dyatlov I. 17. Gershun I. 15. Kokoev D. 47. Kravtsov Z. 14. Minaev R. 80. Novikov M. 99. Polyakh D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 10. Uridiya G.	11. Bakhtiyarov A. 40. Burkin D. 77. Druzhinin I. 8. Galanin I. 6. Krivokhizhin E. 56. Loskutov S. 55. Matyushenko I. 90. Shcherbakov A. 99. Smirnov O. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Kamenshchikov D. ⚽,
33', Proshkin E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Lesnikov D. ⚽,
43', Dmitriev O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Pogosov A. ⚽,
52', Umnikov M. 🟨,
61', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Dyatlov I. ↑,
61', Murza A. ↓, Uridiya G. ↑,
61', Umnikov M. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
64', Nasyrov I. ↓, Matyushenko I. ↑,
64', Mironov D. ↓, Krivokhizhin E. ↑,
65', Bagatelia L. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
73', Melnikov D. ↓, Loskutov S. ↑,
75', Voronin E. ↓, Kravtsov Z. ↑,
78', Kovalev K. 🟥,
79', Pogosov A. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
79', Dmitriev O. ↓, Druzhinin I. ↑,
90+3', Yampolskiy V. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Kamenshchikov D. (Pen),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 4)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Volga Ulyanovsk could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.05.25	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:4 ✺
11.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTW
- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.05.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Leningradets - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Veles Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Torpedo Miass - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.04.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2
Russian FNL
02.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3
11.09.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0

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