Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Spartak Tuymazy

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.9
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	1.59	3.7	4.4
	1.64	3.74	4.25
	1.64	3.84	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.35)	3.61 ↓ (4.33)	4.13 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
53.1%

Draw
25%

Spartak Tuymazy
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.9%

17.7%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volga Ulyanovsk's form might have worsened.

Spartak Tuymazy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Tuymazy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+25.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tuymazy than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Tuymazy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Tuymazy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 10).

Volga Ulyanovsk in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Spartak Tuymazy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Volga Ulyanovsk is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Volga Ulyanovsk to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
10.10.21	Tyumen - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
05.10.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
30.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Irtysh Omsk	6:1 ✺
27.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Barnaul	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTWWW
- Spartak Tuymazy
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
10.10.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Spartak Tuymazy	0:1 ✺
05.10.21	Ural 2 - Spartak Tuymazy	1:1 ✺
30.09.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Amkar Perm	4:1 ✺
26.09.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
17.09.21	Dynamo Barnaul - Spartak Tuymazy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
28.07.21	Spartak Tuymazy - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 penalties

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