Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Central Stadium (Astrakhan) (Astrakhan)


	Volgar Astrakhan		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.89	3.27	2.18
	2.85	3.20	2.15
	3.04	3.44	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.79)	3.3 ↓ (3.73)	2.19 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
31%

Draw
27.5%

Volga Ulyanovsk
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

25.7%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

25.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Mamin A. (G) 47. Agaev A. 34. Dmitriev O. 13. Ivanov D. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 62. Kovalevskiy E. 57. Krotov V. (C) 10. Morozov V. 28. Proshkin E. 5. Strelnik M. 25. Yuran A.	1. Shakerov R. (G) 50. Bykov A. 17. Gershun I. 4. Ibragimov K. 60. Kasyanov I. 3. Krasilnichenko O. (C) 76. Livadnov V. 28. Novikov D. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 5. Stepanov D. 14. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
69. Anosov D. 17. Lesnikov D. 11. Nosov A. 7. Pavlishin A. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 14. Radjabov A. 67. Volkov K. 1. Yampolskiy V. (G)	23. Baburin E. (G) 11. Khashkulov A. 99. Kostin A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Livadnov V. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
60', Shagiakhmetov R. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
63', Kovalevskiy E. ↓, Anosov D. ↑,
63', Kolesnichenko K. ↓, Lesnikov D. ↑,
63', Krotov V. ↓, Pavlishin A. ↑,
70', Morozov V. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
70', Yakovlev V. ↓, Khashkulov A. ↑,
70', Novikov D. ↓, Kostin A. ↑,
76', Agaev A. ↓, Petrovskiy Y. ↑,
86', Kostin A. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Pavlishin A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Volgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Volgar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Volgar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Volga Ulyanovsk - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
05.09.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dynamo Bryansk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Spartak Nalchik	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.08.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	Sochi - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	KAMAZ - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2
06.04.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2
Russian FNL
02.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3
11.09.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0

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