Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Volgar Astrakhan		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.35	6.37
	1.48	5.14	6.73	Watch
	1.34	4.9	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.8 ↓ (4.9)	6.97 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
66.9%

Draw
19.6%

Chertanovo
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

16.8%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volgar Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Khomyakov A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Lesnikov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, Dmitriev O. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Volgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Volgar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Volgar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Volgar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
16.08.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Veles Moscow - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Tyumen	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Volgar Astrakhan - Dynamo Kirov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLT
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.08.25	Cherepovets - Chertanovo	0:4 ✺
04.08.25	Spartak 2 Moscow - Chertanovo	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg	4:0 ✺
02.07.25	Baltika 2 - Chertanovo	3:3 ✺
28.06.25	Chertanovo - Torpedo Vladimir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
10.03.21	Chertanovo - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1
13.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo	1:0

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