The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aris 60.7%
Draw 23.4%
Volos 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
22.2%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
17.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Volos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aris that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Aris - Volos Predictions
Users Predictions:
Aris will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 14th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 3.
Aris has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Volos has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Aris carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Aris: Gning M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Volos: Bare K.
(Inactive)
Cabella R.
(Inactive)
Jan Hurtado
(Inactive)
Mendyl H.
(Red Card)
Mygas G.
(Red Card)
Siabanis M.
(Inactive)
Tsokanis A.
(Inactive).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Aris has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:17 (averaging 1.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aris against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 24:10 goals (averaging 2.4:1 per game).
Outrights of Greek Super League for now
Aris: 0.64% Volos: 0.64%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Aris
5
2
1
2
5:10
-5
7
14
Volos
5
0
2
3
4:9
-5
-1
Last Results with these Odds
Aris - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.26%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.