Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Polissya Zhytomyr		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.98	4.05
	2.09	2.95	4.48
	2.07	3.08	4.5	Watch
	2.05	2.9	4
	2.14	2.88	4.57	Watch
	1.95	2.83	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	2.94 ↓ (3.41)	4.31 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polissya Zhytomyr
46%

Draw
32.1%

Karpaty Lviv
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Polissya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karpaty will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polissya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Volynets Y. (G) 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 55. Krushynskyi B. 19. Shepelev V. 8. Babenko R. (C) 45. Bragaru M. 11. Gutsulyak O. 89. Gayduchyk M. 7. Nazarenko O.	1. Domchak N. (G) 77. Sych O. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 28. Polegenko P. 21. Tanda P. 8. Chachua A. (C) 37. Bruninho 26. Kostenko Y. 10. Neves I. 7. Paulo V.
Substitutes
13. Beskorovaynyi D. 21. Bushchan G. (G) 9. Filippov O. 40. Goncalves A. 94. Gryshkevych D. 2. Hadroj A. 25. Ivanov O. 34. Joao Vialle 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 6. Talles Costa 29. Tomandzoto B.	23. Alvarez P. 9. Fabiano 17. Fedor O. 19. Karabin Y. 18. Klymenko V. 95. Krasnopir I. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 33. Shakh A.
Coaches
Rotan R.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gayduchyk M. ⚽, Gutsulyak O. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Gutsulyak O. ⚽, Nazarenko O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Paulo V. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
47', Jean Pedroso 🟨,
52', 3 - 0, Bragaru M. ⚽, Gutsulyak O. (A),
54', 3 - 1, Mykhaylichenko B. (Own goal),
60', Polegenko P. ↓, Fabiano ↑,
60', Neves I. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
75', Bragaru M. ↓, Lednev B. ↑,
75', Shepelev V. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
75', Gayduchyk M. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
82', Tanda P. 🟨,
85', Bruninho ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
85', Tanda P. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Krasnopir I. ⚽,
89', Nazarenko O. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
90+2', Krushynskyi B. ↓, Joao Vialle ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Karpaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Polissya will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Polissya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
07.12.25	Rukh Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Oleksandriya - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3 ✺
03.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTWT
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
05.12.25	Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Veres Rivne - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Karpaty Lviv - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2
07.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv	1:1
Club Friendly
12.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3
Ukrainian Premier League
28.09.24	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:3
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.11.22	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2
07.10.22	Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv	2:0

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