The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Votuporanguense 39.3%
Draw 31.7%
Aparecidense 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
31.1%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
26.4%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Votuporanguense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Votuporanguense's performance.
Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aparecidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Votuporanguense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Votuporanguense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
42.9%
14.3%
Votuporanguense - Aparecidense Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Votuporanguense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Luis Carlos (G) 4. Amorim 10. Bady (C) 14. Borech 5. Dener 28. Derick 15. Felipe 6. Frank 9. Jefinho 2. Mizael 7. Orlando Junior
17. Anderson Cordeiro 13. Cesar J. 26. Edson Carvalho 20. Gabriel Amaral 18. Gabriel Moyses 21. Hugo 1. Jean (G) 8. John Egito 19. Pedrinho 16. Reinaldo Junio 23. Rian . Welligton Rocha
7. Buba 17. Cesar J. 18. Eduardo Simioni 89. Enzo 10. Higor Leite 22. Ivan Martins 4. Junior Goiano 16. Mario Henrique 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 29. Stefano Pinho
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Renan Gorne ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
17', Felipe 🟨,
30', Felipe ↓, Hugo ↑,
37', Borech 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Joao Marcos ⚽,
42', Allef 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Dyego 🟨,
65', Dyego ↓, Enzo ↑,
65', Pedrinho ↓, Higor Leite ↑,
68', Bady ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
73', Allef ↓, Eduardo Simioni ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Gabriel Moyses ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Higor Leite ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Pedrinho ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Amorim (Pen),
1, Higor Leite (Pen),
2, John Egito (Pen),
2, Mario Henrique (Pen),
3, Frank (Pen),
3, Xavier (Pen),
4, Hugo (Pen),
4, David Junio (Pen),
5, Pedrinho (Pen),
5, Joao Marcos (Pen),
Preview
Recent matches Votuporanguense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aparecidense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Votuporanguense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Votuporanguense will have a small advantage in this match.