Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 28

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Vänersborgs IF		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.7	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.63	3.75	2.31
	2.66	3.74	2.31
	2.66	3.45	2.29
	2.5	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.1)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	2.34 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vänersborgs IF
34.9%

Draw
26%

AFC Malmö
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

27.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vänersborgs IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vänersborgs IF's performance.

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vänersborgs IF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vänersborgs IF - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Kodalaev B. (G) 26. Al Habobi A. 5. Andelkovic M. (C) 20. Biros C. 18. Gashi V. 8. Jobe S. 6. Karlsson A. 2. Mapp A. 9. Shears I. 21. Sterner F. 15. Watters D.	1. van Herk M. (G) 2. Arnshed S. 30. Awad A. 5. Bunjaku G. 20. Habibi A. (C) 7. Khalid O. 13. Kizito K. 23. Mehmed E. 4. Ngum D. 10. Reuterskiold A. 6. Yeboah E.
Substitutes
22. Abdi Y. 11. Jansson O. 25. Karlsson E. 16. Nilsen V. 1. Noreen D. (G) 7. Podrimcaku Y. 19. Snallstrom W.	21. Abuzayda S. 18. Andersson H. 94. Egly V. (G) 22. Hamdan M. 19. Holmkvist T. 34. Ibrahim U. 24. Kurfi Amadi U.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Vänersborgs IF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ariana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ariana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vänersborgs IF won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vänersborgs IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.10.23	Torn - Vänersborgs IF	1:3 ✺
14.10.23	Olympic - Vänersborgs IF	4:2 ✺
06.10.23	Vänersborgs IF - Ljungskile	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Ängelholm - Vänersborgs IF	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Vänersborgs IF - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.10.23	AFC Malmö - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	AFC Malmö - Trollhättan	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Olympic - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	AFC Malmö - Falkenberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
06.05.23	AFC Malmö - Vänersborgs IF	0:1

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