Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 27

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Brommapojkarna

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.8	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.65	2.25
	2.88	3.88	2.29
	2.66	3.63	2.42	Watch
	2.79	3.78	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.71)	3.75 ↑ (3.73)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
33.7%

Draw
25.1%

Brommapojkarna
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.1%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Brommapojkarna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Värnamo - Brommapojkarna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brommapojkarna will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brommapojkarna: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brommapojkarna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brommapojkarna (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Brommapojkarna (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brommapojkarna (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brommapojkarna (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 5. Larsson V. 4. Mohammed R. 27. Coulibaly S. 3. Bjornstrom A. 25. Shamoun N. 11. Antonsen K. 22. Thern S. (C) 18. Alsalkhadi M. 10. Zeljkovic A. 8. Liimatta O.	1. Lacayo J. (G) 21. Timossi A. 28. Ssewankambo I. 3. Hovland E. (C) 5. Ngouali S. 6. Zanden O. 24. Ackermann K. 30. Bjorklund L. 19. Irandust D. 23. Alladoh E. 31. Arrhov L.
Substitutes
6. Andersson H. 39. Andersson V. (G) 14. Antonsson M. 21. Diallo M. C. 24. Grozdanic E. 16. Kujundzic A. 9. Meriluoto K. 20. Winsth F.	35. Apiiga B. 27. Barslund K. 4. Bjorkander E. 20. Camara I. 41. Isaksson C. 37. Jarde O. 7. Lind V. 36. Otokwefor C. 14. Sever K.
Coaches
Sandsto A.	Kristiansson U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Bjorklund L. 🟨,
42', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shamoun N. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
46', Coulibaly S. ↓, Grozdanic E. ↑,
63', Alsalkhadi M. 🟨,
69', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
69', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
70', Arrhov L. ↓, Lind V. ↑,
78', Timossi A. ↓, Barslund K. ↑,
78', Ngouali S. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
83', Liimatta O. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Lind V. ⚽, Irandust D. (A),
89', Irandust D. ↓, Bjorkander E. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Antonsson M. ⚽, Meriluoto K. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Värnamo has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Brommapojkarna: Bahoui N. (Inactive) Calisir A. (Inactive) Cavallius L. (Inactive) Cotton O. (Inactive) Lind V. (Injury) Orqvist R. (Injury) Tahwildaran L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.10.25	AIK - Värnamo	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Malmö - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
22.09.25	Värnamo - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Öster - Värnamo	4:3 ✺
30.08.25	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLLL
- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.10.25	Brommapojkarna - Häcken	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Brommapojkarna - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	IFK Göteborg - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	AIK - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	3:2
03.11.24	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	0:1
12.05.24	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	1:1
05.08.23	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	0:2
04.05.23	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	0:1
Swedish Superettan
20.08.17	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	2:1
18.04.17	Värnamo - Brommapojkarna	0:1

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