Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 3

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Värnamo		IFK Göteborg

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.35
	2.75	3.35	2.55	Watch
	2.74	3.43	2.54	Watch
	3	3.2	2.38
	2.8	3.35	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.72)	3.33 ↓ (3.53)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
33.7%

Draw
28.4%

IFK Göteborg
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

IFK Göteborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Värnamo - IFK Göteborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Göteborg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Göteborg (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Göteborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Andersson V. (G) 5. Larsson V. 2. Rapp J. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 22. Thern S. (C) 8. Le Roux L. 16. Lohikangas A. 7. Johansson C. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 9. Kalu J.	1. Dahlberg P. (G) 29. Santos T. 13. Svensson G. (C) 5. Bager J. 22. Tolf N. 30. Lundqvist R. 15. Kruse D. 8. Jagne I. 7. Clemmensen S. 9. Fenger M. 14. Heintz T.
Substitutes
6. Andersson H. 32. Bilalovic K. 17. Bozicevic F. 26. Johansson C. 28. Junior Adjei F. 1. Keto H. (G) 4. Mohammed R. 20. Winsth F. 10. Zeljkovic A.	25. Bishesari E. (G) 26. Brantlind B. 21. Carlen A. 16. Carlstrand L. 18. Eriksson F. 3. Erlingmark A. 17. Markovic E. 23. Thordarson K. 6. Trondsen A.
Coaches
Sibila F.	Billborn S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Bager J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Fenger M. ⚽, Lundqvist R. (A),
45+1', Thern S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Lundqvist R. 🟨,
60', Kalu J. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
60', Lohikangas A. ↓, Junior Adjei F. ↑,
60', Bager J. ↓, Erlingmark A. ↑,
60', Jagne I. ↓, Thordarson K. ↑,
60', Clemmensen S. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
63', Rapp J. 🟨,
72', Tolf N. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
78', Kruse D. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
80', Rapp J. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
80', Johansson C. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
80', Larsson V. ↓, Winsth F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 3.

Värnamo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Göteborg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Göteborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Värnamo: Wenderson (Red Card)

There will not play in Göteborg: Carneil H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Göteborg: Kahed L. (Injury) Mucolli A. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.04.25	Degerfors - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
31.03.25	Värnamo - Sirius	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.02.25	AIK - Värnamo	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Värnamo - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.04.25	IFK Göteborg - Halmstad	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Hammarby - IFK Göteborg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	IFK Göteborg - IFK Mariehamn	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Utsikten - IFK Göteborg	1:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
16.03.25	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.24	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	0:0
07.07.24	Värnamo - IFK Göteborg	2:0
23.10.23	Värnamo - IFK Göteborg	3:1
02.04.23	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	0:1
06.11.22	Värnamo - IFK Göteborg	1:4
03.04.22	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	2:1
Svenska Cupen
01.03.14	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	2:0

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