Match Info

Superettan - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Värnamo		Norrby

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.5
	1.95	3.55	3.6
	2.01	3.74	3.84
	1.91	3.78	3.64	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.89	3.62	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.68)	3.57 ↓ (3.88)	3.63 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
48.4%

Draw
26%

Norrby
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Värnamo's form might have worsened.

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norrby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Värnamo - Norrby Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Norrby will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 5. Bergqvist D. 7. Johansson C. 21. Abdulrazak I. 23. Robertsson L. 13. Jansson S. 3. Bjornstrom A. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.	1. Banozic S. (G) 4. Nedzibovic A. 3. Engvall J. 5. Svendsen V. (C) 17. Spendler T. 11. Liimatainen K. 6. Hjalmar J. 18. Axede C. 10. Bichis J. 9. Abdulazeez Y. 7. Johansson J.
Substitutes
17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 28. Diallo M. C. 19. Freij E. 24. Kamara M. 16. Kujundzic A. 4. Ohlsson S. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.	14. Backlund O. 13. Bjorninger L. 26. Bradenmark J. 21. Ekdahl W. 28. Holte M. 25. Ljungkull M. 27. Sjoberg A. 12. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Linderoth T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Nedzibovic A. 🟨,
44', Antonsson M. 🟨,
44', Svendsen V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 0, Rapp J. ⚽, Jansson S. (A),
64', Abdulazeez Y. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Abdulrazak I. (Own goal),
73', Abdulrazak I. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
73', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Robertsson L. ⚽,
81', Rapp J. 🟨,
85', Liimatainen K. ↓, Holte M. ↑,
87', Jansson S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
87', Rapp J. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Bichis J. ⚽, Spendler T. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Värnamo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29
13	Norrby	25	4	12	9	28:35	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
12.05.26	Värnamo - Örebro	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Östersund - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Värnamo - Oddevold	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sandviken - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW
- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
12.05.26	Landskrona - Norrby	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Norrby - Helsingborg	3:3 ✺
02.05.26	Sandviken - Norrby	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Örebro - Norrby	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Norrby - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.11.21	Värnamo - Norrby	1:2
19.06.21	Norrby - Värnamo	2:0
Club Friendly
07.03.20	Norrby - Värnamo	6:1
Swedish Superettan
24.09.18	Norrby - Värnamo	2:1
07.05.18	Värnamo - Norrby	0:0
Svenska Cupen
03.03.18	Värnamo - Norrby	1:0
Swedish Superettan
30.10.17	Norrby - Värnamo	2:3

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