Match Info

Superettan - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Jernvallen (Sandviken)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Sandviken		Norrby

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.05	3.5	3
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.19	3.6	3.26
	2.13	3.51	3.16	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.12	3.42	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.99)	3.42 ↓ (3.67)	3.12 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandviken
43.6%

Draw
26.9%

Norrby
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandviken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandviken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Sandviken - Norrby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lindell O. (G) 26. Tagesson L. 2. Thorn G. (C) 4. Van der Laan V. 21. Kiani A. 7. Arvidsson J. 15. Andersson F. 6. Vabo L. 12. Carleton A. 14. Mahammed M. 22. Wagner C.	1. Banozic S. (G) 4. Nedzibovic A. 5. Svendsen V. (C) 3. Engvall J. 17. Spendler T. 19. Back Engstrom M. 6. Hjalmar J. 18. Axede C. 10. Bichis J. 9. Abdulazeez Y. 7. Johansson J.
Substitutes
16. Abubakari M. 8. Bohm K. 25. Diomande V. 23. Harletun K. 13. Lindholm I. 28. Lund A. 1. Sveijer H. (G) 9. Thellsson C. W. I.	14. Backlund O. 2. Bendrik D. 13. Bjorninger L. 28. Holte M. 27. Sjoberg A. 12. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.
Coaches
Coskun B.	Linderoth T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Wagner C. ⚽, Arvidsson J. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Nedzibovic A. ⚽, Johansson J. (A),
9', Back Engstrom M. ↓, Backlund O. ↑,
16', 1 - 2, Abdulazeez Y. ⚽, Backlund O. (A),
24', Carleton A. ↓, Abubakari M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abdulazeez Y. ↓, Holte M. ↑,
46', Mahammed M. ↓, Bohm K. ↑,
71', Thorn G. ↓, Harletun K. ↑,
71', Vabo L. ↓, Thellsson C. W. I. ↑,
77', Nedzibovic A. ↓, Bjorninger L. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Wagner C. ⚽,
90', Tagesson L. ↓, Lindholm I. ↑,
90+4', Thellsson C. W. I. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation)).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Sandviken is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sandviken	26	10	7	9	45:36	9	37
13	Norrby	25	4	12	9	28:35	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
25.04.26	United Nordic - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sandviken - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Oddevold - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Västerås SK - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL
- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
25.04.26	Örebro - Norrby	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Norrby - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Östersund - Norrby	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Norrby - Brage	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Norrby - Skövde AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLL

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