Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 10

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Color Line Stadion (Ålesund)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Aalesunds		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.4
	1.95	3.8	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.76	3.64
				Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.96	3.72	3.54	Watch
	1.95	3.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)	3.67 ↑ (3.55)	3.5 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds
48%

Draw
25.4%

Stabæk
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds's performance.

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stabæk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+4%)

Aalesunds - Stabæk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Stabæk (2.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Stabæk (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Stabæk (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grytebust S. (G) 2. Andresen M. 5. Kjelsen A. 4. Haram S. 7. Nesso K. 25. Kitolano J. 11. Johannsson D. 6. Hammer H. 8. Melland H. 19. Heiselberg F. 9. Ngongo P. (C)	1. Rossbach S. (G) 19. Riise F. 2. Pedersen K. 4. Naess N. 20. Andresen A. 28. Isaksen J. 27. Danso E. 21. Onsrud K. 11. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 9. Diabate B. 17. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
29. Boe J. 33. Doving M. V. 3. Gudmundsson O. 34. Gulbrandsen T. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K. 32. Senior-Harvik S. 38. Ytterland T.	10. Geelmuyden H. 12. Gunnerod L. (G) 24. Kostadinov K. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 14. Nielsen M. 5. Skjelvik J. 7. Vinge R. E.
Coaches
Rekdal K.	Walemark J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Isaksen J. ⚽, Spiten-Nysaeter O. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Naess N. ⚽, Andresen A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Heiselberg F. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
58', Andresen M. ↓, Gudmundsson O. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Melland H. ⚽, Johannsson D. (A),
67', Johannsson D. 🟨,
71', Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↓, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↑,
71', Diabate B. ↓, Vinge R. E. ↑,
76', Onsrud K. ↓, Kostadinov K. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Johannsson D. ⚽, Nesso K. (A),
82', Haram S. ↓, Boe J. ↑,
84', Hammer H. 🟨,
86', Kitolano J. 🟨,
87', Andresen A. 🟨,
88', Pedersen K. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
88', Olderheim S. ↓, Geelmuyden H. ↑,
90+3', Melland H. ↓, Ytterland T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 1.

Aalesunds is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Stabæk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Aalesunds has had a series of home games.

Aalesunds could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aalesunds won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.25	Ranheim - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
24.05.25	Aalesunds - Start	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Aalesunds - Hamarkameratene	3:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Aalesunds - Hødd	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.05.25	Aalesunds - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTWWW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.25	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Raufoss - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
12.05.25	Åsane - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.11.24	Stabæk - Aalesunds	1:4
01.04.24	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.09.23	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:1
13.05.23	Stabæk - Aalesunds	1:0
18.10.20	Stabæk - Aalesunds	4:0
19.07.20	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:3
09.12.18	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:1

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