Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Vélez		Montijo

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.25
	2.3	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3	2.85
	2.54	2.75	3.26
	2.42	3.04	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.32)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)	3.03 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez
38.6%

Draw
31.2%

Montijo
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.3%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.6%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vélez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montijo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vélez - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Vélez is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montijo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vélez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.02.22	Vélez - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
20.02.22	Panadería Pulido - Vélez	2:0 ✺
16.02.22	Mérida AD - Vélez	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Vélez - Las Palmas B	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Cacereño - Vélez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLWL
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.02.22	Montijo - Antequera	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Ceuta - Montijo	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Montijo - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
06.02.22	Panadería Pulido - Montijo	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Montijo - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.10.21	Montijo - Vélez	1:0

Vélez - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide