Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Montijo		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.45
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.85	3	2.5	Watch
	2.65	2.93	2.43
	2.93	3	2.52
	2.81	3.08	2.48
	2.75	3.05	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.3)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	2.47 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
32.9%

Draw
30.2%

Mensajero
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

30.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montijo's form might have worsened.

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mensajero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mensajero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	Getafe B - Montijo	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Navalcarnero - Montijo	4:2 ✺
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Illescas - Montijo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 LWLWW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	Mensajero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Cacereño - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	Mensajero - Montijo	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.02.22	Montijo - Mensajero	2:2
08.12.21	Mensajero - Montijo	1:0

Montijo - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide