Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Montijo		UD San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.75	2.8	2.5
				Watch
	2.96	2.85	2.62
	2.96	2.85	2.62
	2.94	2.77	2.6
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
31.7%

Draw
32.4%

UD San Fernando
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montijo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UD San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montijo - UD San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Montijo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montijo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Montijo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montijo - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Montijo	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Getafe B - Montijo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLL
- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	UD San Fernando - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.01.22	Montijo - UD San Fernando	2:0
12.09.21	UD San Fernando - Montijo	1:2

Montijo - UD San Fernando: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide