Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Ferro 2

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.50	7.25
	1.38	4.20	6.25
	1.34	4.97	8.85
	1.31	4.79	8.8	Watch
	1.26	4.85	8.65
	1.26	4.6	10.3
	1.35	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	4.64 ↑ (4.2)	8.16 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
69.2%

Draw
19.6%

Ferro 2
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.

Ferro 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Ferro 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Piola L. ⚽,
36', Martinez C. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, ⚽,
76', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 18th).

Vélez 2 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ferro 2 is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Vélez 2 as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vélez 2 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.09.26	Aldosivi 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTWT
- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.09.26	Ferro 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Quilmes 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ferro 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Ferro 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.26	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2
03.08.25	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2

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