Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: PCC völlurinn (Husavik)


	Völsungur		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.9	1.75
	4.45	4.45	1.51
	4.84	4.68	1.55
	9.92	7.31	1.19	Watch
	3.8	4	1.7
	3.85	4.3	1.65	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (1.45)	4.73 ↑ (4.5)	2.08 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Völsungur
24.1%

Draw
23.1%

Thor Akureyri
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

18.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Völsungur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-38.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Völsungur's form might have worsened.

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Völsungur than the current prediction. (+34.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Völsungur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-34.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Völsungur - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Völsungur will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Thor will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thor: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Völsungur (votes: 2 - 50%). Thor (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 9. Adalsteinsson E. 6. Albizuri I. 10. Baldvinsson B. 4. Baldvinsson E. 14. Cardenas X. 23. Gudmundsson E. 5. Kristjansson A. (C) 16. Robertsson J. 22. Salmi I. 39. Torfason G.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 24. Geirsson Y. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
15. Baldursson T. 11. Gunnarsson R. 17. Kristjansson A. 21. Parla S. 88. Sigurpalsson E. (G) 8. Steingrimsson O. 7. Thorsteinsson S.	26. Davidsson D. 18. Ingason S. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H. 27. Sindrason A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Victor R. ⚽,
13', Adalsteinsson E. 🟨,
17', Adalsteinsson E. (Pen),
19', 1 - 1, Salmi I. ⚽,
30', Halldorsson E. 🟨,
41', Torfason G. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Balde I. ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, Halldorsson E. ⚽, Victor R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 1 - 4, Kristjansson K. ⚽, Gunnarsson S. (A),
52', Guardia J. 🟨,
55', 2 - 4, Adalsteinsson E. ⚽,
56', Baldvinsson E. 🟨,
57', Balde I. 🟨,
58', Gudmundsson E. ↓, Parla S. ↑,
58', Adalsteinsson E. ↓, Gunnarsson R. ↑,
58', Baldvinsson E. ↓, Thorsteinsson S. ↑,
61', 2 - 5, Gunnarsson S. ⚽, Victor R. (A),
65', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
65', Kristjansson K. ↓, Davidsson D. ↑,
71', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Steingrimsson O. ↑,
73', Victor R. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
73', Halldorsson E. ↓, Sindrason A. ↑,
87', Fridriksson A. 🟨,
89', Robertsson J. ↓, Baldursson T. ↑,
90', Jakobsen C. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
90+4', Kristjansson K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Völsungur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Thor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Völsungur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Völsungur has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Völsungur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Völsungur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iþrottafelagið Völsungur
Icelandic Division 1
09.08.25	Völsungur - Throttur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	Fjölnir - Völsungur	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Völsungur - Selfoss	4:0 ✺
19.07.25	Völsungur - IR Reykjavik	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Völsungur - Njarðvík	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWLT
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
08.08.25	Fylkir - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
04.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Völsungur	1:3
Icelandic Cup
12.06.20	Völsungur - Thor Akureyri	2:3 penalties

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