Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Fylkisvöllur (Reykjavík)


	Fylkir		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.3
	2.4	3.8	2.31
	2.99	3.75	2.19
	2.92	3.23	2.36	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.38
	2.4	3.84	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.1)	3.64 ↓ (3.98)	2.31 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylkir
35.2%

Draw
25.2%

Thor Akureyri
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

22.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylkir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fylkir's form might have worsened.

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fylkir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Fylkir - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helgason O. (G) 3. Asthorsson A. 2. Eythorsson A. 17. Eythorsson B. 18. Gunnarsson N. 7. Gunnarsson T. 23. Hilmarsson M. 20. Oskarsson T. 34. Saevarsson G. 5. Segatta O. 9. Wohler E.	1. Stefansson A. (G) 5. Affi Y. 24. Geirsson Y. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 9. Victor R.
Substitutes
11. Aguilera P. 72. Catano H. 19. Gislason A. 12. Helgason H. (G) 13. Ingimundarson T. 66. Thordarson H. 14. Vikingsson T.	26. Davidsson D. 17. Gislason F. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H. 27. Sindrason A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Jakobsen C. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
13', 1 - 0, Wohler E. (Pen),
15', Sigurjonsson O. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Guardia J. ⚽,
43', Geirsson Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Eythorsson B. ↓, Catano H. ↑,
70', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Aguilera P. ↑,
70', Kristjansson I. ↓, Sindrason A. ↑,
70', Geirsson Y. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,
78', Wohler E. ↓, Thordarson H. ↑,
80', Kristjansson K. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Halldorsson E. ⚽,
85', Catano H. 🟨,
90', Runarsson H. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 2.

Fylkir is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Thor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fylkir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 3.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
29.07.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Fylkir	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Fylkir - Fjölnir	3:3 ✺
18.07.25	Fylkir - Njarðvík	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Selfoss - Fylkir	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Fylkir - IR Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
29.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Grindavik	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	HK Kópavogur - Thor Akureyri	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
30.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	4:1
Icelandic League Cup
18.02.23	Fylkir - Thor Akureyri	5:0
Icelandic Division 1
17.09.22	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	2:1
09.07.22	Fylkir - Thor Akureyri	4:0
Club Friendly
28.05.20	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	2:2
Icelandic League Cup
24.02.18	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	0:2
Icelandic Division 1
15.07.17	Thor Akureyri - Fylkir	1:1

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