Match Info

Date: 20 January 2021, Wednesday


	Wadi Degla		Al Masry

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.37
	2.85	2.9	2.4
	3.25	2.8	2.3
	3.15	2.75	2.34
	3.45	2.95	2.41
	3.2	2.88	2.35
	3.16	3.1	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.78)	2.91 ↓ (3.19)	2.36 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wadi Degla
29.3%

Draw
31.6%

Al Masry
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

21.3%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Masry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wadi Degla - Al Masry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Wadi Degla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Masry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Masry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wadi Degla won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
15.01.21	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	1:0 ✺
11.01.21	Pyramids - Wadi Degla	1:1 ✺
08.01.21	Wadi Degla - ENPPI	1:2 ✺
01.01.21	Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla	0:0 ✺
24.12.20	Wadi Degla - Smouha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LTLTL
- Al Masry Club
Egyptian Premier League
12.01.21	Al Masry - Zamalek	0:1 ✺
07.01.21	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
30.12.20	Al Masry - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
26.12.20	Misr El-Makasa - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
21.12.20	Al Masry - Aswan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
30.10.20	Al Masry - Wadi Degla	2:1
10.02.20	Wadi Degla - Al Masry	0:3
30.04.19	Al Masry - Wadi Degla	0:0
11.11.18	Wadi Degla - Al Masry	1:1
16.01.18	Wadi Degla - Al Masry	0:0
Egyptian Cup
09.12.17	Wadi Degla - Al Masry	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
10.09.17	Al Masry - Wadi Degla	1:0

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