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Current Win Probability
Al Ahly Cairo 55.2%
Draw 28.5%
Wadi Degla 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.2%
23%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
23.2%
14.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Ahly Cairo's form might have worsened.
Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al Ahly Cairo will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Ibrahim Y. 2. Marei Y. 36. Kouka A. 23. Dieng A. 13. Attia M. 27. Otaka M. 22. Ashour E. 7. Trezeguet 25. Zizo
1. Hossam A. (G) 3. Adly O. 28. Teka S. 23. Ayman A. 12. Dahesh A. 19. Mohamed H. 11. Abdelrahim M. 4. Adel I. 14. Abdelaati M. (C) 10. Diasty M. 7. Hussein A.
Substitutes
17. Bencharki A. 5. Ben Romdhane M. 24. Eid A. 14. El Shahat H. 9. Gradisar N. 29. Mohamed T. 4. Ramadan A. 31. Shobeir O. (G) 12. Shokry M.
9. Boli F. 5. Dahroug A. 25. El Bahnasi I. 34. Kaandorp M. 20. Oya Y. 24. Ragab M. 8. Scholes A. 18. Shaaban A. (G) 22. Zizo
Coaches
Thorup J.
El Sheikh M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Kouka A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Trezeguet ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Zizo (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adel I. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
46', Hussein A. ↓, Boli F. ↑,
48', Ayman A. 🟨,
62', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
62', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Otaka M. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
69', Ashour E. ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
69', Kouka A. ↓, Shokry M. ↑,
69', Dieng A. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
69', Dahesh A. ↓, Dahroug A. ↑,
70', Shokry M. 🟨,
74', Otaka M. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
74', Trezeguet ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Zizo ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 4.
Al Ahly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wadi Degla is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.
In this match, Al Ahly is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 1.4:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Al Ahly
5
4
1
0
9:3
6
13
14
Wadi Degla
5
1
2
2
4:5
-1
5
Last Results with these Odds
Al Ahly Cairo - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Egypt
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El Shenawy M. (C) 
Dieng A. 
Teka S. 
Bencharki A. 
Gradisar N. 
Boli F. 
Kaandorp M. 
Thorup J. 
