Match Info

Date: 22 January 2021, Friday


	Waitakere United		Canterbury United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.7
	2	3.65	2.7
	2.04	3.95	2.9
	2.04	4.28	3.04
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.05	3.84	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.98)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	2.89 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waitakere United
44.5%

Draw
23.9%

Canterbury United
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

25.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

20.4%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waitakere United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waitakere United's performance.

Canterbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canterbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waitakere United than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waitakere United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canterbury United than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canterbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Waitakere United - Canterbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 and 5).

Waitakere United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Canterbury United is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Waitakere United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Waitakere United won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Waitakere United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waitakere United
New Zealand Premiership
16.01.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Waitakere United	1:1 ✺
09.01.21	Waitakere United - Auckland City	0:3 ✺
19.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	Waitakere United - Hamilton Academical	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Eastern Suburbs - Waitakere United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLTT
- Canterbury United
New Zealand Premiership
15.01.21	Canterbury United - Eastern Suburbs	1:0 ✺
08.01.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Canterbury United	1:1 ✺
18.12.20	Team Wellington - Canterbury United	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Canterbury United - Auckland City	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
13.11.20	Canterbury United - Waitakere United	0:4
01.02.20	Canterbury United - Waitakere United	1:2
15.11.19	Waitakere United - Canterbury United	1:1
09.03.19	Waitakere United - Canterbury United	1:4
08.12.18	Canterbury United - Waitakere United	2:1
13.01.18	Waitakere United - Canterbury United	1:1
21.10.17	Canterbury United - Waitakere United	1:1

Waitakere United - Canterbury United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide