The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wakiso Giants 23.4%
Draw 29.7%
Villa 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
28.1%
52%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
27.5%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wakiso Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakiso Giants than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alitho J. (G) 6. Arinda A. 4. Bukenya L. 10. Kizito L. 29. Mbalire H. 15. Mtita S. 22. Mukiibi M. 28. Mulamba B. 30. Oyamo T. 17. Ssegujja M. 12. Ssenyonjo H. (C)
1. Angufindru N. (G) 18. Atukunda T. 10. Kakande P. 4. Kene G. 14. Lwanga C. 26. Mubiru H. 2. Odong A. 20. Omony D. 15. Owori D. 13. Ssekiganda R. (C) 22. Ssemakula A.
Substitutes
5. Bagoole D. 2. Bibo O. 16. Lukooya B. 19. Mwebe H. (G) 21. Nsubuga S. 8. Oloya M. 20. Oshaba M. 18. Ssenfuka R. 14. Tumwine F.
12. Kajubi I. 16. Kibande C. 23. Kigibire M. (G) 35. Mangoli R. 39. Matovu S. 5. Mpande R. 3. Mulimi F. 7. Mulindi A. 21. Otim A. 19. Semugera M. 32. Yiga N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Bukenya L. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Ssemakula A. ⚽, Owori D. (A),
29', Ssegujja M. 🟨,
38', Kene G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Mbalire H. ⚽,
63', Kizito L. ↓, Tumwine F. ↑,
63', Bukenya L. ↓, Ssenfuka R. ↑,
71', Lwanga C. ↓, Mulindi A. ↑,
71', Mubiru H. ↓, Otim A. ↑,
82', Ssenyonjo H. ↓, Bibo O. ↑,
82', Mulamba B. ↓, Oloya M. ↑,
85', Ssemakula A. ↓, Mpande R. ↑,
85', Otim A. ↓, Yiga N. ↑,
90+3', Mbalire H. ↓, Oshaba M. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wakiso Giants won 1.
Wakiso Giants is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Villa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Villa is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Wakiso Giants won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:18 (average 1.3:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Wakiso Giants won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Wakiso Giants - the odds 4.59 are the expected chance of winning is 19.86%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.