Match Info

UGANDA: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday

Location: Kakyeka Stadium (Mbarara)


	Mbarara City		Wakiso Giants

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.05	3.65
	2.56	3.54	2.41	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.3
	2.91	2.89	2.44
	2.01	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.77)	3.05 ↓ (3.37)	2.89 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbarara City
36.9%

Draw
30.7%

Wakiso Giants
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

23%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbarara City's form might have worsened.

Wakiso Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wakiso Giants's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mbarara City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakiso Giants than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wakiso Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Mbarara City - Wakiso Giants Predictions

Users Predictions: Mbarara City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Kimera A. (G) 21. Adinho G. 17. Akandwanaho J. (C) 16. Arigumaho S. 10. Jurua H. 9. Kitegenyi H. 30. Mafabi Y. 26. Namasa E. 6. Odongo F. 2. Ramathan K. 14. Ssenkubuge L.	1. Alitho J. (G) 5. Bagoole D. 4. Bukenya L. 29. Mbalire H. 15. Mtita S. 22. Mukiibi M. 28. Mulamba B. 21. Nsubuga S. 17. Ssegujja M. 13. Ssemakula A. 12. Ssenyonjo H. (C)
Substitutes
25. Amutuhaire I. 15. Busolo P. 12. Kafumbe J. 28. Kalembo I. (G) 8. Kalisa J. 24. Makutum Y. 3. Nambafu I. 18. Okwii A. 13. Othieno S.	11. Kyeyune T. 7. Masiko T. 19. Mwebe H. (G) 20. Oshaba M. 30. Oyamo T. 27. Ssekitto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nsubuga S. ↓, Oyamo T. ↑,
60', Kitegenyi H. ↓, Makutum Y. ↑,
60', Jurua H. ↓, Kafumbe J. ↑,
63', Makutum Y. 🟨,
66', Bagoole D. ↓, Oshaba M. ↑,
66', Adinho G. ↓, Busolo P. ↑,
84', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
12.12.24	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
05.12.24	Mbarara City - Maroons	0:3 ✺
28.11.24	Express - Mbarara City	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Mbarara City - Mbale Heroes	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	UPDF - Mbarara City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL
- Wakiso Giants
Ugandan Super League
15.12.24	Wakiso Giants - Kampala City Council	1:2 ✺
04.12.24	Police - Wakiso Giants	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Wakiso Giants - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Villa - Wakiso Giants	6:1 ✺
06.11.24	Wakiso Giants - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
02.01.24	Mbarara City - Wakiso Giants	2:1
09.03.22	Wakiso Giants - Mbarara City	3:1
17.12.21	Mbarara City - Wakiso Giants	0:0
02.04.21	Wakiso Giants - Mbarara City	1:2
12.02.21	Mbarara City - Wakiso Giants	0:1
15.01.20	Mbarara City - Wakiso Giants	1:0
05.10.19	Wakiso Giants - Mbarara City	2:1

Mbarara City - Wakiso Giants: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide