Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Semi-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Izzi TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Two, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2
Wales	BBC Wales
World	VIX App


	Wales		Bosnia and Herzegovina

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.25
	1.88	3.4	4.33
	1.68	3.7	5.4
	1.67	3.88	5.66
	1.73	3.89	5.08	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5
	1.7	3.91	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)	3.74 ↑ (3.39)	5.16 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wales
55.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wales's performance.

Bosnia and Herzegovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	18.7%	4.2%

Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Wales will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Bosnia will win (votes: 2 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wales: 65.2% – 89%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 3 - 60%). Bosnia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Bosnia (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 3 - 50%). Bosnia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Darlow K. (G) Leeds 3. Williams N. Nottingham 6. Rodon J. Leeds 4. Lawlor D. Cardiff 2. Dasilva J. Coventry 5. Ampadu E. (C) Leeds 17. James J. Leicester 20. James D. Leeds 8. Wilson H. Fulham 11. Johnson B. Crystal Palace 7. Brooks D. Bournemouth	1. Vasilj N. (G) St. Pauli 7. Dedic A. Benfica 18. Katic N. Schalke 4. Muharemovic T. Sassuolo 5. Kolasinac S. Atalanta 20. Bajraktarevic E. PSV 14. Sunjic I. Pafos 6. Tahirovic B. Brondby 15. Memic A. Plzen 11. Dzeko E. (C) Schalke 10. Demirovic E. VfB Stuttgart
Substitutes
23. Broadhead N. Wrexham 13. Cabango B. Swansea 16. Colwill J. Cardiff 10. Cullen L. Swansea 18. Harris M. Oxford Utd 21. King T. (G) Everton 9. Koumas L. Hull City 15. Kpakio R. Cardiff 14. Norrington-Davies R. QPR 22. Sheehan J. Bolton 19. Thomas S. Stoke City 12. Ward D. (G) Wrexham	19. Alajbegovic K. Salzburg 13. Basic I. FC Astana 9. Bazdar S. Jagiellonia 17. Burnic D. Karlsruher 3. Celik N. Lens 8. Gigovic A. Young Boys 16. Hadziahmetovic A. Hull City 12. Hadzikic O. (G) Slaven Belupo 2. Mujakic N. Gaziantep 21. Radeljic S. Rijeka 23. Tabakovic H. B. Monchengladbach 22. Zlomislic M. (G) Rijeka
Coaches
Bellamy C.	Barbarez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Memic A. 🟨,
37', Demirovic E. 🟨,
39', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, James D. ⚽,
56', James J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
62', Tahirovic B. ↓, Basic I. ↑,
62', Kolasinac S. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
70', Cullen L. 🟨,
74', Memic A. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
74', Brooks D. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
78', Sunjic I. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
84', James D. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Dzeko E. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
111', Dzeko E. 🟨,
112', Dedic A. ↓, Gigovic A. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Demirovic E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Wilson H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tabakovic H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Harris M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Basic I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Johnson B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hadziahmetovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Alajbegovic K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, Wales is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wales: Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Mepham C. (Injury) Moore K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wales won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Wales - North Macedonia	7:1 ✺
15.11.25	Liechtenstein - Wales	0:1 ✺
13.10.25	Wales - Belgium	2:4 ✺
Friendly
09.10.25	England - Wales	3:0 ✺
09.09.25	Wales - Canada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Austria - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Romania	3:1 ✺
Friendly
12.10.25	Malta - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:4 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Cyprus - Bosnia and Herzegovina	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Austria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
10.10.15	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Wales	2:0
10.10.14	Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina	0:0
Friendly
15.08.12	Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina	N/A

Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide