Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Semi-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	06:45	Stan Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	BHT 1
Bulgaria	21:45	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
China	03:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub 10
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Ecuador	14:45	ESPN 2
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports Premier League
India	01:15	Vision+
Indonesia	02:45	K-Vision
Italy	20:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Mexico	13:45	Izzi TV
New Zealand	08:45	Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	20:45	SuperSport LaLiga
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:45	ESPN 2
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	20:45	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV5
Romania	21:45	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:45	Exxen, S Sport+
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport, BBC Two, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Wales	19:45	BBC Wales
International	19:45	VIX App


	Wales		Bosnia and Herzegovina

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	5.25
	1.88	3.4	4.33
	1.68	3.7	5.4
	1.67	3.88	5.66
	1.73	3.89	5.08	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5
	1.7	3.91	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)	3.74 ↑ (3.39)	5.16 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wales
55.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
18.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wales's performance.

Bosnia and Herzegovina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	18.7%	4.2%

Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Wales will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Bosnia will win (votes: 2 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wales: 65.2% – 89%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 3 - 60%). Bosnia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Bosnia (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 3 - 50%). Bosnia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Darlow K. (G) Leeds 3. Williams N. Nottingham 6. Rodon J. Leeds 4. Lawlor D. Cardiff 2. Dasilva J. Coventry 5. Ampadu E. (C) Leeds 17. James J. Leicester 20. James D. Leeds 8. Wilson H. Fulham 11. Johnson B. Crystal Palace 7. Brooks D. Bournemouth	1. Vasilj N. (G) St. Pauli 7. Dedic A. Benfica 18. Katic N. Schalke 4. Muharemovic T. Sassuolo 5. Kolasinac S. Atalanta 20. Bajraktarevic E. PSV 14. Sunjic I. Pafos 6. Tahirovic B. Brondby 15. Memic A. Plzen 11. Dzeko E. (C) Schalke 10. Demirovic E. VfB Stuttgart
Substitutes
23. Broadhead N. Wrexham 13. Cabango B. Swansea 16. Colwill J. Cardiff 10. Cullen L. Swansea 18. Harris M. Oxford Utd 21. King T. (G) Everton 9. Koumas L. Hull City 15. Kpakio R. Cardiff 14. Norrington-Davies R. QPR 22. Sheehan J. Bolton 19. Thomas S. Stoke City 12. Ward D. (G) Wrexham	19. Alajbegovic K. Salzburg 13. Basic I. FC Astana 9. Bazdar S. Jagiellonia 17. Burnic D. Karlsruher 3. Celik N. Lens 8. Gigovic A. Young Boys 16. Hadziahmetovic A. Hull City 12. Hadzikic O. (G) Slaven Belupo 2. Mujakic N. Gaziantep 21. Radeljic S. Rijeka 23. Tabakovic H. B. Monchengladbach 22. Zlomislic M. (G) Rijeka
Coaches
Bellamy C.	Barbarez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Memic A. 🟨,
37', Demirovic E. 🟨,
39', Kolasinac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, James D. ⚽,
56', James J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
62', Tahirovic B. ↓, Basic I. ↑,
62', Kolasinac S. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
70', Cullen L. 🟨,
74', Memic A. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
74', Brooks D. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
78', Sunjic I. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
84', James D. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Dzeko E. ⚽, Alajbegovic K. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Dzeko E. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
111', Dzeko E. 🟨,
112', Dedic A. ↓, Gigovic A. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Demirovic E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Wilson H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tabakovic H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Harris M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Basic I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Johnson B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hadziahmetovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Alajbegovic K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, Wales is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Wales: Davies B. (Ankle Injury) Mepham C. (Injury) Moore K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wales won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wales
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Wales - North Macedonia	7:1 ✺
15.11.25	Liechtenstein - Wales	0:1 ✺
13.10.25	Wales - Belgium	2:4 ✺
Friendly
09.10.25	England - Wales	3:0 ✺
09.09.25	Wales - Canada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Bosnia and Herzegovina
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Austria - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Romania	3:1 ✺
Friendly
12.10.25	Malta - Bosnia and Herzegovina	1:4 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Cyprus - Bosnia and Herzegovina	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Austria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
10.10.15	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Wales	2:0
10.10.14	Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina	0:0
Friendly
15.08.12	Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina	N/A

Wales - Bosnia and Herzegovina