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Current Win Probability
Wales 11.6%
Draw 22.4%
England 65.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
24.6%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting England's recent form is better than expected.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.4%
12.8%
80.8%
Wales - England Predictions
Users Predictions:
England will win
(215 of 266 users predict this - 80.83%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.1% – 85.56%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Wales has a very small chance of 1st place (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd place (5%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of quarter-finals (1%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
England has a good chance of 1st place (82%), has a chance of 2nd place (18%), was already of round of 16, has a good chance of quarter-finals (60%), has a chance of semi-finals (29%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win world cup (6%).
In this match England is certain favorite.
There will not play in Wales: Hennessey W.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in England: White B.
(Illness)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Wales won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.