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Current Win Probability
USA 38.9%
Draw 31%
Wales 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
31.2%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.2%
30.5%
18.3%
USA - Wales Predictions
Users Predictions:
213 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 109 - 51.2%). Wales will win (votes: 39 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 65 - 30.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 44.5% – 57.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
USA has a chance of 1st place (22%), has a chance of 2nd place (31%), has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of quarter-finals (24%), has a small chance of semi-finals (10%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win world cup (1%).
Wales has a small chance of 1st place (11%), has a chance of 2nd place (21%), has a chance of round of 16 (32%), has a small chance of quarter-finals (11%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
USA will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in USA: de la Torre L.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Wales: Allen J.
(Thigh Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches USA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.