The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walsall 32.7%
Draw 26.8%
Exeter City 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
26.4%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
26.5%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walsall's performance.
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Walsall that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Walsall - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 26. Okagbue D. 24. Williams H. 21. Allen T. 2. Barrett C. 16. Maher R. 25. Stirk R. 8. Lakin C. 30. Weir E. 37. Adomah A. 10. Gordon J.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. 39. Diabate C. 3. Purrington B. 17. Watts C. 2. McMillan J. 46. Oakes L. 14. Niskanen I. 41. Borges P. 12. Cole R. 11. Alli M.
Substitutes
17. Earing J. 6. Farquharson P. 3. Gordon L. 12. Hornby S. (G) 22. Jellis J. 9. Matt J. 4. McEntee O. 27. Thomas D. 34. Wragg C.
10. Aitchison J. 4. Crama T. 45. Cummins C. 5. Fitzwater J. 18. Harper V. 40. James E. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 27. Magennis J. 15. Yfeko J.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Alli M. ⚽, Watts C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Watts C. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
50', 🟨,
56', Oakes L. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
59', Weir E. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
59', Barrett C. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
59', Lakin C. ↓, Earing J. ↑,
69', Borges P. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
69', Sweeney P. ↓, Fitzwater J. ↑,
73', Maher R. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
79', Adomah A. ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
81', Gordon J. (Pen),
83', Cole R. ↓, Crama T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Jellis J. ⚽, Earing J. (A),
90+4', Stirk R. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Magennis J. (Pen),
1, Earing J. (Pen),
2, Niskanen I. (Pen),
2, Okagbue D. (Pen),
3, Alli M. (Pen),
3, Matt J. (Pen),
4, Fitzwater J. (Pen),
4, Gordon L. (Pen),
5, Aitchison J. (Pen),
5, Gordon J. (Pen),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 1.
Recent matches Walsall is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Exeter is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Walsall won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.