Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Sandoe L. (Eng)


	Exeter City		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.82	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.70
	2.42	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.47	3.35	2.96
	2.38	3.37	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.85
	2.43	3.68	2.71	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.33)	3.36 ↑ (3.35)	2.8 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Exeter City
38.8%

Draw
27.9%

Rotherham United
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.7%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Exeter City - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bycroft J. (G) 2. Samuel L. 6. Taylor J. 5. Fitzwater J. (C) 3. Woodhouse L. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 16. Cummins C. 25. Scully A. 8. Perry T. 20. Birch G. 10. Gordon J.	13. Eyestone J. (G) 14. Aljofree S. 27. Iorfa D. 5. Ngwenya K. 12. Hall D. 6. Ashley O. 4. Austerfield J. 24. Buyabu J. 17. Kaleta M. 15. Fitzgerald J. 10. Mullin P. (C)
Substitutes
46. Cayless L. 19. Cox S. 7. Edwards G. 14. Kite H. 18. Oakes L. 22. Phillips F. (G) 23. Sutherland E.	16. Adegboyega E. 9. Bradshaw T. 1. Cann T. (G) 26. Douglas H. 23. Nemane A. 2. Rafferty J. 8. Spence K.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Bruce A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Woodhouse L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Scully A. ⚽, Birch G. (A),
58', Iorfa D. 🟨,
58', Fitzgerald J. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
65', Scully A. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
69', Kaleta M. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
69', Ngwenya K. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
79', Birch G. ↓, Sutherland E. ↑,
80', Perry T. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
85', Gordon J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
90+2', Cummins C. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 21st and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.

Exeter is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Rotherham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Exeter: Turns E. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Rotherham: Agbaire L. (Inactive) Duncan H. (Inactive) Lolos K. (Inactive) Sebine G. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Exeter: Cox S. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Rotherham: Jellis J. (Inactive) Otoo E. (Inactive) Tavares F. (Inactive).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Exeter has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 0.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Exeter against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.3:1.7 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Rotherham: 0.87% Exeter: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Exeter	10	3	3	4	6:6	0	12
20	Rotherham	10	2	4	4	12:16	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
26.09.26	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Cheltenham Town - Exeter City	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Exeter City - Tranmere Rovers	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Port Vale - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.09.26	Exeter City - Tottenham Hotspur U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW
- Rotherham United
English League Two
26.09.26	Rotherham United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	York City - Rotherham United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Northampton Town - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Rotherham United - Salford City	3:3 ✺
05.09.26	Bristol Rovers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
31.01.26	Exeter City - Rotherham United	0:4
06.09.25	Rotherham United - Exeter City	1:0
15.03.25	Rotherham United - Exeter City	1:1
10.08.24	Exeter City - Rotherham United	1:0
English League Two
09.04.13	Rotherham United - Exeter City	4:1
24.11.12	Exeter City - Rotherham United	0:1

Upcoming Matches