Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Walton & Hersham		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.1
	2.02	3.7	3.05
	2.04	3.9	2.96
	2.07	3.47	3.28	Watch
	2.08	3.63	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	3.12 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton & Hersham
45.1%

Draw
25.3%

Chippenham Town
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton & Hersham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Walton & Hersham's performance.

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chippenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Walton & Hersham - Chippenham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Bradbury C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 2, Owen-Evans T. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Walton & Hersham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chippenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chippenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Walton & Hersham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Walton & Hersham - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.06%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Berkhamsted - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Bracknell Town - Walton & Hersham	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Whitehawk - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Walton & Hersham - Evesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Gosport Borough - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
20.09.25	Enfield Town - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Slough Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLL

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