Match Info

National League South - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.8	5.25
	1.55	3.9	5.3
	1.68	3.79	4.77
	1.80	3.57	4.16	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.54	3.95	5.56
	1.43	4.3	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	3.93 ↓ (4.35)	5.15 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
58.8%

Draw
23.4%

Chippenham Town
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

21.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hornchurch - Chippenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Hearn H. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Hearn H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 3 - 0, Balanta A. ⚽,

Preview

Hornchurch is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chippenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hornchurch is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Hornchurch will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
25.08.25	Chippenham Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.04.25	Chippenham Town - Hornchurch	0:4
21.12.24	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	1:2

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