Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.35	3.4	2.68
	2.25	3.58	2.61
	2.35	3.44	2.68	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3.31)	3.45 ↓ (3.62)	2.54 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
38%

Draw
26.3%

Chippenham Town
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

25.2%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

23.3%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gloucester City's performance.

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chippenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gloucester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chippenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Gloucester City - Chippenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gloucester City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 2.

Gloucester is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chippenham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chippenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Gloucester City - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Evesham United - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gloucester City - Hanwell Town	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
06.09.25	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Slough Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Chippenham Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	5:3
English National League South
22.04.19	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	3:2
15.09.18	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	1:0
05.03.18	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:0
05.09.17	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	2:0
English FA Cup
20.10.12	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:0

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