The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chippenham Town 43.5%
Draw 25.6%
Hampton & Richmond Borough 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
26.4%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
25.7%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chippenham Town's performance.
Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hampton & Richmond Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chippenham Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hampton & Richmond Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hampton & Richmond (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Owen-Evans T. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 1, Silva R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 2.
Chippenham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hampton & Richmond is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chippenham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Chippenham Town - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Hampton & Richmond Borough - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.