Match Info

Date: 8 January 2022, Saturday


	Warrenpoint Town		Newry City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.4
	2.3	3.85	2.4
	2.29	3.55	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.66
	2.3	4	2.37
	2.31	3.6	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 (2.3)	3.7 ↓ (3.9)	2.51 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
39.4%

Draw
24.5%

Newry City
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

23.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

16.7%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warrenpoint Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newry City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warrenpoint Town - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Warrenpoint Town is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Newry City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newry City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Warrenpoint Town have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Warrenpoint Town won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Warrenpoint Town won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Premiership
21.12.21	Dungannon Swifts - Warrenpoint Town	2:2 ✺
18.12.21	Warrenpoint Town - Portadown	0:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
14.12.21	Coleraine - Warrenpoint Town	6:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
11.12.21	Linfield - Warrenpoint Town	1:1 ✺
04.12.21	Larne - Warrenpoint Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TLLTL
- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
01.01.22	Institute FC - Newry City	0:0
27.12.21	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Queens University Belfast - Newry City	0:1
03.12.21	Newry City - Annagh United	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Knockbreda - Newry City	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish League Cup
14.09.21	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	1:2 ET
Club Friendly
25.08.20	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	1:2
23.07.19	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	1:1
Northern Irish Premiership
13.04.19	Warrenpoint Town - Newry City	2:4
26.01.19	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	0:2
26.12.18	Warrenpoint Town - Newry City	2:2
21.09.18	Newry City - Warrenpoint Town	1:1

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